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System sizes · 2026

What size solar system do I need?

The "20% rule" is a rule of thumb, not a regulation: size the panels to make about 20% more electricity than you use in a year, to allow for winter, dust and panel ageing. At the 4,333 kWh a year a typical household uses (AER and ESC default offers, 2026-27), that is 5,200 kWh, or about 3.6 kW of panels. Our size table matches size to bill instead: on a $300-$600 quarterly bill that is 6.6 kW, 15 panels on a 5 kW inverter, about $5,116-$7,416 after the federal rebate in Sydney (prices checked 10 October 2026).

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Battery figures: Clean Energy Regulator data, to 1 July 2026; "1 in 17" is derived from it.

Solar system sizes compared

Every size we price, from 5 kW to 20 kW. Prices are after the federal STC rebate in Sydney (zone 3); payback is on bill savings at the middle of each size's bill range.

Size Panels Output a day Suits a bill of After STCs Payback
5 kW 11 on a 5 kW inverter ~20 kWh Under $300 $3,952-$5,652 6.0 to 10.5 years
6 kW 14 on a 5 kW inverter ~24 kWh $250-$500 $4,674-$6,674 4.7 to 8.2 years
6.6 kW 15 on a 5 kW inverter ~26 kWh $300-$600 $5,116-$7,416 4.3 to 7.6 years
8 kW 18 on a 6 kW inverter ~32 kWh $500-$800 $6,219-$8,919 3.6 to 6.4 years
10 kW 23 on a 8.2 kW inverter ~40 kWh $700-$1,000 $7,764-$11,164 3.5 to 6.1 years
13.2 kW 30 on a 10 kW inverter ~52 kWh $900+ $10,292-$14,692 4.3 to 7.6 years
15 kW 34 on a 12 kW inverter ~60 kWh $1,000+ $11,716-$16,816 4.4 to 7.8 years
20 kW 45 on a 15 kW inverter ~79 kWh $1,400+ $15,528-$22,328 4.2 to 7.4 years

Installed band: Per-kW band of $1,050 to $1,390 before rebates: the cheapest (Perth 7 kW) and dearest (Hobart 6 kW) capital-city prices at 6 to 10 kW in the index, Darwin excluded, with each city's STC discount added back. Sizes above 10 kW are scaled at the same per-kW rates; smaller systems usually cost more per kW. Payback assumptions: Sydney (STC zone 3), grid power at 32c/kWh, 1,450 kWh a year per kW, price after the federal rebate only, bill savings only (no VPP income), savings ±10%. General information, not financial advice; the solar cost calculator runs the same numbers for your bill and postcode.

What is the 20% rule for solar?

The "20% rule" is a rule of thumb, not a regulation: size the panels to make about 20% more electricity than you use in a year, to allow for winter, dust and panel ageing. At the 4,333 kWh a year a typical household uses (AER and ESC default offers, 2026-27), that is 5,200 kWh, or about 3.6 kW of panels.

A bigger system often makes sense. Solar alone only offsets what you use while the sun is up, so extra panels cover daytime loads, a battery or an EV, and the price per kW falls as systems get bigger: the Solar Choice Price Index, October 2026 all-cities average after STCs is $1,377 per kW at 3 kW and $981 per kW at 10 kW. The limits that actually bind are the 133% allowance, which lets 6.6 kW of panels run on a 5 kW inverter, and your network's export limit.

How to choose your system size

Three things matter most:

1. Your quarterly electricity bill

Under $300 a quarter: 5 kW. $300-$600 a quarter: 6.6 kW. $500-$800 a quarter: 8 kW. $700-$1,000 a quarter: 10 kW. Bigger bills point to 13.2 kW and up, usually on three-phase power.

2. When you use your power

Households that use most of their electricity during the day (pool pumps, ducted air-con, electric hot water, working from home) get more value from a larger system. Households that use most of their power in the evening should size more conservatively or add a battery.

3. Your future loads

An EV or a heat-pump hot water system adds daytime load you can run from your own panels. If one is coming in the next couple of years, size up a step now rather than adding a second array later.

Is 10 kW solar enough to run a house?

For daytime use, yes for almost every home: a 10 kW system makes about 40 kWh a day against the 11.9 kWh a day a typical household uses. Panels stop at sunset, so the evening needs a battery. The full answer, with payback on two different bills, is in is 10 kW solar enough to run a house.

Common questions

What is the 20% rule for solar?

The "20% rule" is a rule of thumb, not a regulation: size the panels to make about 20% more electricity than you use in a year, to allow for winter, dust and panel ageing. At the 4,333 kWh a year a typical household uses (AER and ESC default offers, 2026-27), that is 5,200 kWh, or about 3.6 kW of panels. A bigger system often makes sense. Solar alone only offsets what you use while the sun is up, so extra panels cover daytime loads, a battery or an EV, and the price per kW falls as systems get bigger: the Solar Choice Price Index, October 2026 all-cities average after STCs is $1,377 per kW at 3 kW and $981 per kW at 10 kW. The limits that actually bind are the 133% allowance, which lets 6.6 kW of panels run on a 5 kW inverter, and your network's export limit.

How do I know what size I need?

Your quarterly bill is the cleanest signal. Under $300 a quarter: 5 kW. $300-$600 a quarter: 6.6 kW. $500-$800 a quarter: 8 kW. $700-$1,000 a quarter: 10 kW. Size up if you have a pool, electric hot water, ducted air-conditioning or an EV coming.

Is 10 kW solar enough to run a house?

For daytime use, yes for almost every home: about 40 kWh a day against the 11.9 kWh a day a typical household uses. Panels stop at sunset, so the evening needs a battery. The full answer is in our guide to whether 10 kW solar is enough.

Does a bigger system always pay back faster?

No. Solar alone can only offset the daytime share of a bill, so a system sized past your bill exports more for a small feed-in tariff. On our calculator a 10 kW system pays back in 3.5 to 6.1 years on the $850 quarterly bill it is sized for, and more slowly on a smaller one.

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